We are coming off of an unbelievable week at The Open Championship the place Irishman Shane Lowry took dwelling the Claret Jug in brutal Sunday circumstances. Typically, the week after a major championship features a weak topic event, nevertheless, that modifications this week with the WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational held at TPC Southwind, so it is easy to fill out your betting card.
As you’d rely on on a WGC event, the sector is as strong as they arrive with Tiger Woods and Rickie Fowler being the one massive names not making the journey to Memphis. TPC Southwind is a course that we’re very familiar with, having hosted a PGA Tour event for a last few a very long time. The topic is prepared at 64 of the world’s prime players, and every participant is likely to be assured 4 rounds with no scale back.
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TPC Southwind persistently ranks in direction of the best of the rankings by means of bogey and double bogey worth, whereas moreover ranking in direction of the underside at birdie worth. There is water in play on 11 of the 18 holes, and all of these hazards see a great deal of movement all by the week. In actuality, TPC Southwind has seen additional balls throughout the water than one other course on tour over the earlier 15 years.
TPC Southwind is a second-shot course that rewards accuracy off the tee and locations an infinite emphasis on technique images. The water hazards and thick robust push many players to membership down off the tee, nevertheless, we have now seen players like Brooks Koepka and Dustin Johnson follow their driver to rearrange transient irons and wedges into practically the entire greens. Driving accuracy is a tough start to pin down, significantly with the completely totally different decisions off the tee, nevertheless, players who maintain it throughout the fairway and avoid the water will instantly get a leg up on the opponents.
TPC Southwind is a par-70 construction with solely two par 5s, so I might be par-4 scorers, along with guys who can grind out pars on this robust construction. The majority of technique images will fall throughout the 150-175 yard differ, so mid-irons is likely to be a normal methodology of technique, apart from the bombers throughout the topic.
Before we get into this week’s picks, here’s a reminder to look at me out on Twitter (@DFSBenj) for far more NFL, NBA, MLB and PGA every day fantasy content material materials and enjoying advice.
Key Stats for TPC Southwind
Approach 150-175 Yards
Par 4 Scoring
Strokes Gained: Around-the-Greens
WGC FedEx Invitational betting advice
Outright Bets to Consider
*odds by means of DraftKings Sportsbook
Rory McIlroy 10/1
Last week was an infinite let down for McIlroy as he missed the scale back at The Open Championship. While the missed scale back is alarming, an extra take a look at Rory’s two rounds will current some optimistic indicators. Outside of a quadruple bogey on his first hole and a horrible three-putt within 4 ft, he really carried out very correctly and made an excellent run on Friday to just about make it to the weekend. McIlroy tends to bounce once more correctly from poor weeks, with finishes of first, second, T12, and first throughout the week following his last 4 missed cuts.
While he has certainly not carried out at TPC Southwind, the construction is a nice match for him given his wonderful tee-to-green sport and elite technique numbers from the necessary factor 150-175 yard differ. When establishing my card, I decided to take the route of selecting one among many prime players and sprinkling in some prolonged images throughout the 50/1-and-over differ. Among the best players, it acquired right here proper all the way down to Rory and Dustin Johnson, who’s a two-time winner at TPC Southwind. While it’s exhausting to ignore Johnson’s historic previous at WGC events, I favor taking McIlroy, who has been having fun with considerably higher golf over the earlier two months.
Patrick Reed 50/1
Reed’s sport has been trending up over the previous month with finishes of T32, T30, T5, T23, and T10 over his earlier 5 events. Reed normally would not play on the TPC Southwind event, nevertheless, I think that it is a good match for his sport with its grind-it-out nature. Reed has been persistently gaining strokes alongside together with his technique images over the second half of the season, and his transient sport stays top-of-the-line throughout the topic. His first occupation breakthrough win was at a WGC event once more in 2014, so everyone knows that the worthwhile upside is there if his irons can click on on. 50/1 are sincere odds for a participant who’s due for a win.
Brandt Snedeker 70/1
There are quite a lot of guys throughout the 70/1-and-over differ on the possibilities board which will be drawing my consideration, and I am going to pull the set off on Snedeker at 70/1. This goes to be each week the place par is a sincere ranking, and I am going to on a regular basis objective Snedeker in events the place birdies is likely to be at a premium. While the statistics really don’t favor him, as he ranks near the underside of the PGA Tour in approaches from 150-175 yards, everyone knows that he will have the power to carry the ball throughout the fairway off the tee, and he can purchase adequate strokes on and throughout the inexperienced to make up for these ball-striking flaws. Snedeker carried out on the PGA Tour event at TPC Southwind the last yr and posted a T6 finish.
Keegan Bradley 100/1
The longshot guess of the week is Bradley. TPC Southwind is a ball-strikers course, and Bradley stays one among many larger ball-strikers throughout the topic. He’s moreover the subsequent high-quality participant than simply about everyone else throughout the 100/1 and over differs. Bradley ranks inside the best 35 on Tour in GIR from the 150-175 yard differ and ranks the seventh normal in Strokes Gained: Approach. The putter is on a regular basis going to be a precedence for him, nevertheless, the ball inserting acumen ought to present him adequate appears to have a shot going into the weekend.