March Madness 2018: Odds to survive Sweet 16, win NCAA Tournament

March Madness 2018: Odds to survive Sweet 16, win NCAA Tournament

The primary weekend of the 2018 NCAA Event was pure insanity. No. 16 UMBC upset No. 1-overall seed Virginia, whereas No. 1 Xavier, No. 2 Cincinnati, No. 2 UNC, No. three Tennessee, No. three Michigan State and a trio of No. four seeds all went dwelling early.

Now that we’re right down to the Candy 16, which groups have the very best likelihood to advance to the Elite Eight, Remaining 4 and win the nationwide championship recreation after this drastic shake-up to the bracket? AccuScore has simulated all attainable matchups 1000’s of occasions and give you possibilities for every remaining group to outlive every spherical and win the nationwide championship.

MARCH MADNESS: NCAA Event scores, schedule

What are the chances that your group will win all of it? These possibilities will likely be up to date after every spherical of the NCAA Event. Go to AccuScore for extra in-depth evaluation and recreation predictions that will help you make your picks all through the event.

Staff Area Elite eight Remaining four Remaining Champ

1 Villanova EAST 70.25% 39.80% 23.98% 16.10%

2 Duke MIDWEST 83.11% 48.69% 24.95% 15.87%

four Gonzaga WEST 69.90% 41.11% 24.83% 11.93%

2 Purdue EAST 61.20% 31.76% 17.51% 11.05%

5 Kentucky SOUTH 56.70% 34.70% 19.37% 9.24%

three Michigan WEST 57.71% 31.46% 19.05% eight.90%

1 Kansas MIDWEST 61.03% 30.87% 13.68% 6.36%

7 Nevada SOUTH 65.02% 34.19% 14.98% 5.40%

three Texas Tech EAST 38.80% 16.95% eight.75% four.75%

5 Clemson MIDWEST 38.97% 15.02% 5.34% 2.43%

5 West Virginia EAST 29.75% 11.48% four.98% 2.35%

11 Loyola (IL) SOUTH 34.98% 18.32% 7.31% 2.05%

7 Texas A&M WEST 42.29% 15.38% 6.45% 1.86%

9 Florida State WEST 30.10% 12.06% four.99% 1.16%

9 Kansas State SOUTH 43.30% 12.79% three.02% zero.34%

11 Syracuse MIDWEST 16.89% 5.42% zero.81% zero.24%

March Insanity predictions

Finest odds to advance to the Elite Eight

Duke faces Syracuse, which entered into the NCAA Event through the First 4. The Blue Devils have higher than an 80-percent likelihood to proceed to the following spherical by beating acquainted ACC foe Syracuse’s robust zone protection. One other 11 seed, Loyola-Chicago, faces No. 7 Nevada, which stunned No. 2 Cincinnati with a comeback win. Loyola-Chicago had solely a 6-percent likelihood to achieve Elite Eight earlier than the event, whereas Syracuse’s quantity was simply above 2 p.c. Villanova, Gonzaga, Nevada, Purdue and Kansas are groups which have higher than a 60-percent win chance within the Candy 16.

Powerful subsequent spherical, however potential for a run

No. 5 Kentucky has been one of many important beneficiaries of Virginia, Cincinnati and Tennessee dropping within the South area. Kentucky faces Kansas State, which didn’t have nice odds (zero.23 p.c) to make the Remaining 4 earlier than the event. If Kentucky takes care of Kansas State in what’s predicted to be one of many tightest Candy 16 matchups, it is going to be among the many 4 favorites to achieve the Remaining 4.

Among the many underdogs on this spherical, Loyola-Chicago has the very best likelihood to achieve the Remaining 4. One of many causes is that top-seeded groups are out on this area, plus Loyola has managed to drag out victories of their very tight video games. That is a vital attribute of a profitable group in tight tournaments.

SWEET 16 GAME PREVIEWS: Loyola (In poor health.)-Nevada | Texas A&M-Michigan | Kansas St-Kentucky | FSU-Gonzaga Clemson-Kansas | W. Virginia-Villanova | Syracuse-Duke | Texas Tech-Purdue

Excessive seeds groups with low Remaining 4 odds

One of many two remaining No. 1 seeds, Kansas, has only a 30-percent likelihood to achieve the Remaining 4 based mostly on our simulations. That’s the lowest quantity among the many groups which are predicted to be favorites within the Candy 16. Purdue and Michigan have possibilities simply above 31 p.c, regardless that these groups are favorites within the Candy 16. Purdue is an fascinating group as a result of it does not have very excessive possibilities to proceed to the following rounds in comparison with groups with related seedings. Nevertheless, Purdue’s probabilities to win the event is the fourth-highest left on the board.

Up to date odds to win 2018 NCAA Event

The highest groups to win the NCAA Event based mostly on AccuScore  simulations proper now are Villanova and Duke. Nova has been in that place because the begin of the event, however Duke has improved its probabilities with two stable victories and a few shock losses of different groups, particularly No. three Michigan State. Each groups have higher than a 15-percent chance to win the nationwide championship. Gonzaga and Purdue are subsequent with an 11-percent win chance, in keeping with AccuScore simulations. Kentucky and Michigan are the following possible winners with round 9-percent win possibilities.

If you wish to simulate the video games your self, please verify AccuScore’s Bracketcaster.

AccuScore will replace these NCAA Event predictions after every spherical.