Expect North Korea to test more missiles in 2020, says Eurasia Group




With little indicators that the U.S. and North Korea will return to the negotiating desk, Pyongyang appears to be the potential to proceed testing missiles in 2020, an analyst said on Tuesday.

North Korea earlier this month said it may shock the U.S. with a “Christmas gift” and appeared to reiterate a year-end deadline for Washington to change its methodology to restart negotiations. The “Christmas gift” — which many consultants depend on to be a missile test — hasn’t materialized.

It’s not clear whether or not or not any “gift” would come sooner than the 12 months ends. But Scott Seaman, Asia director in hazard consultancy Eurasia Group, knowledgeable CNBC’s “Squawk Box Asia” that there have been “plenty of short-range missile tests” by North Korea this 12 months, which attracted “modest” response from the U.S.

“So I think we can well expect next year that we’ll see more tests, and of course the big question is whether we’ll see an ICBM test,” he added, referring to an intercontinental ballistic missile. Pyongyang has claimed that its ICBM has the capability to hit the continental U.S.

Denuclearization talks between the U.S. and North Korea hit a stalemate this 12 months following a variety of rounds of diplomacy. The U.S. tried to get talks once more on the monitor, nonetheless, these efforts have not yielded loads of outcomes, well-known Seaman.

“I think the U.S. certainly wants to show that it’s actively working to keep the process moving forward. It doesn’t want to be in a position where it makes it easy for (North Korean leader) Kim Jong Un to criticize the U.S. for not trying hard enough to resolve their differences through dialogue,” he said.

“But certainly there hasn’t been much movement as far as restarting that formal negotiation process.”




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