However it’s nonetheless fully unknown whether or not the ousted prime minister’s ruling celebration might be pushed from energy altogether, mentioned Neil Hauer, an unbiased analyst based mostly in Tbilisi, Georgia, who focuses on Russia and the Caucasus.
“Russia has thus far supported the outcomes of the protests towards Sargsyan and whereas Armenia would possibly pursue some nearer hyperlinks with the EU, I do not suppose Armenia is ready to undertake an anti-Russian posture anytime quickly,” he mentioned.
Requested if the occasions in Armenia had any bearing to the Maidan protests in Ukraine in 2014, which noticed former Ukrainian president Viktor Yanukovych, an in depth Putin ally, ousted in favor of nearer ties to the EU, the Kremlin performed it cool.
“For now, we see that the scenario just isn’t unfolding in a destabilizing means which is a trigger for satisfaction,” Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov advised reporters, including that he didn’t draw a comparability between the political actions in Armenia and people in Ukraine in 2014, the latter of which ultimately led to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine’s Crimean peninsula.
To maintain Russia comfortable going ahead, any new authorities to emerge within the coming weeks would wish to offer reassurance to Moscow that Armenia’s strategic route will stay unchanged, Ash mentioned. “Putin loses sleep at night time simply pondering of the prospect of colored revolutions, in order that they would wish to work time beyond regulation therein.”